Trudeau cabinet tries to focus on domestic agenda amid unforeseen emergencies

WINNIPEG — Prime Minister Justin Trudeau and his cabinet ministers are trying to concentrate on the Liberal government’s domestic agenda and how to see it to fruition in a minority Parliament — but unforeseen emergencies continue to demand their urgent attention.

The monster storm that buried eastern regions of Newfoundland and Labrador in snow and the trauma over the downing of a Ukrainian passenger jet dominated questions put to ministers as they came and went Sunday from the opening day of a three-day cabinet retreat.

But even as those events continued to dominate outside the retreat, inside ministers were focused on a more mundane matter: preparing for the Jan. 27 resumption of Parliament for its first extended sitting since the Oct. 21 election reduced the Liberals to a minority.

Finance Minister Bill Morneau and newly appointed Middle Class Prosperity Minister Mona Fortier updated their colleagues on the cross-country consultations they’ve been conducting in advance of the coming budget.

“This morning we had an opportunity to talk about our economy, to reflect on how well middle-class Canadians have done over the last four years but also to think about the things that we still need to do,” Morneau said.

“It was an important start to our day.”

But Foreign Affairs Minister Francois-Philippe Champagne began his day even before the early-morning start to the cabinet retreat, sending a missive to his Iranian counterpart stressing that Canada expects the flight data recorders from Ukrainian airlines flight PS752 to be analysed by experts in Ukraine or France.

His missive came amid signs that Iran — which has admitted it accidentally shot down the passenger jet, killing all 176 aboard, including 57 Canadians —  may be backing off an earlier commitment to share the damaged black boxes with outside experts.

The airliner was shot down on Jan. 8 and the tragedy has preoccupied the government ever since. Trudeau, who had intended to adopt a lower profile during his second mandate, has held four news conferences on the matter, met with the families of victims and attended memorials.

Trudeau offered no comment Sunday as he came and went from the retreat.

Late in the day, various diplomats from around the globe gave ministers a rundown on the international scene.

They included Dominic Barton, Canada’s ambassador to China, where two Canadians have been arbitrarily imprisoned for more than a year in apparent retaliation for Canada’s arrest of Huawei executive Meng Wanzhou at the behest of the U.S. 

Asked to summarize the picture of the global situation painted by the diplomats, Champagne said: “It’s a complex world. It’s a world which is less predictable. It’s certainly not the world of our parents.”

That unpredictability isn’t confined to the international stage.

Three other ministers — Public Safety Minister Bill Blair, Defence Minister Harjit Sajjan and Natural Resources Minister Seamus O’Regan — spent at least part of the retreat dealing with the federal response to the storm that ravaged Newfoundland and Labrador on Friday and Saturday.

“We’re making sure that there is good, close co-ordination to make sure that they get the resources that they need,” Public Safety Minister Bill Blair said shortly after the trio of ministers got off the phone with the province’s premier, Dwight Ball.

Sajjan said 150 to 200 troops would be on the ground in the province by the end of the day, with up to 150 more ready to go if needed.

Climate scientist Katharine Hayhoe, one of about a dozen experts asked to speak to ministers Sunday on a variety of topics, later said the storm is an example of how the warming climate is making extreme weather events worse.

Ministers also heard from economists about the state of the economy and the government’s efforts to bolster the middle class.

Morneau declined later to go into detail about how budget preparations in a minority Parliament differ from those made during the Liberals’ first majority mandate. He acknowledged only that consultations with opposition parties — at least one of which will have to support the budget if the government is to survive — will be “more robust this year.”

Cabinet retreats outside Ottawa are part of Trudeau’s approach to regional outreach, with Winnipeg chosen for this particular outing in a bid to recognize that the Liberals were trounced on the Prairies in the Oct. 21 election — primarily because of environmental policies deemed hostile to the energy industry.

They were shut out of Alberta and Saskatchewan entirely and lost three of seven seats in Manitoba.

Environment Minister Jonathan Wilkinson repeated that he’s open to suggestions for improvement to the Liberals’ climate change policies. But he made it clear there’s little chance that will involve any change to the imposition of a national carbon tax, noting that two-thirds of Canadians voted for parties that support that approach to climate policy.

On the flip side, ministers also got an update on construction of the Trans Mountain pipeline expansion, which is intended to carry diluted bitumen from Alberta’s oil sands to the B.C. coast for export overseas.

Construction has begun and Ian Anderson, CEO of Trans Mountain Corp., said the project is estimated to be completed by mid to late 2022.

O’Regan said he hopes that will help “change the temperature” in the Prairies, particularly in Alberta where alienation and talk of separation have been running high since the election.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Jan. 19, 2020.

Joan Bryden, The Canadian Press

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Trump thanks farmers for backing him through China trade war

AUSTIN, Texas — President Donald Trump thanked farmers Sunday for supporting him through a trade war with China as he promoted a new North American trade agreement and a separate one with China that he said will massively benefit farmers.

“We did it,” Trump said, recalling his campaign promises to improve America’s trading relationships with other countries.

At one point during his address to the American Farm Bureau Federation’s convention, Trump said he has strong support among farmers following his signing last week of a preliminary trade deal with China.

When Trump spoke to the American Farm Bureau Federation’s last year, he urged farmers to continue supporting him even as they suffered financially in the fallout from his trade war with China and a partial shutdown of the federal government.

His follow-up speech Sunday at this year’s convention in Austin, Texas, gave him a chance to make the case to farmers that he kept promises he made as a candidate to improve trade with China and separately with Canada and Mexico.

He thanked farmers for staying “in the fight.”

“You were always with me,” Trump said. “You never even thought of giving up and we got it done.”

The Republican president wants another term in office and is seeking to shore up support among his base, including farmers.

Trump announced he is taking steps to protect the water rights of farmers and ranchers by directing the Army Corps of Engineers to immediately withdraw a new water supply rule and allow states to manage water resources based on their own needs and what the agricultural community wants.

“Water is the lifeblood of agriculture and we will always protect your water supply,” Trump said.

Trump signed a preliminary trade deal with China at the White House last Wednesday that commits Beijing to boosting its imports of U.S. manufacturing, energy and farm goods by $200 billion this year and next. That includes larger purchases of soybeans and other farm goods expected to reach $40 billion a year, the U.S. has said, though critics wonder if China can meet the targets.

In Austin, Trump described the trade agreement with China as “groundbreaking” and said, “We’re going to sell the greatest product you’ve ever seen.”

Also last week, the Senate voted overwhelmingly in favour of the U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement, a successor to the 1994 North American Free Trade Agreement. The administration designed the new agreement to return some factory production to the United States, mostly automobiles.

Trump said in Austin that U.S. farmers will also benefit under USMCA, which he said will “massively boost exports” for farmers, ranchers, growers from “North to South” and “from sea to shining sea.”

NAFTA had triggered a surge in trade among the three countries, but Trump and other critics blamed it for U.S. job losses brought about when American factories moved production south of the border to take advantage of low-wage labour in Mexico.

The House passed the U.S.-Mexico-Canada deal in December. Trump said he would sign it after he returns from a trip to Europe this week.

In his remarks to farmers, Trump claimed his administration is doing things no other administration has ever done.

“And what do I get out of it? I get impeached,” he said. “That’s what I get. By these radical-left lunatics, I get impeached. But that’s OK. The farmers are sticking with Trump.”

The president’s trial in the Senate gets underway in earnest on Tuesday.

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Follow Darlene Superville on Twitter: http://www.twitter.com/dsupervilleap

Darlene Superville, The Associated Press






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Libya players agree to respect arms embargo, push cease-fire

BERLIN — World powers and other countries with interests in Libya’s long-running civil war agreed Sunday to respect a much-violated arms embargo, hold off on military support to the warring parties and push them to reach a full cease-fire, German and U.N. leaders said.

The agreement came after about four hours of talks at the chancellery in Berlin. German Chancellor Angela Merkel hosted leaders of 11 countries, with Libya’s two main rival leaders also in the German capital but not at the main conference table.

Organizers knew that “we had to succeed in getting all the parties that connected in any way with the Libya conflict to speak with one voice … because then the parties inside Libya will also understand that there is only a non-military way to a solution,” Merkel said. “We achieved this result here.”

Libya has sunk further into chaos since the 2011 ouster and killing of its longtime dictator, Moammar Gadhafi. It is now divided into rival administrations, each backed by different nations: the U.N.-recognized government based in Tripoli, headed by Sarraj, and one based in the country’s east, supported by Hifter’s forces.

Hifter’s forces have been on the offensive since April, laying siege to Tripoli in an effort to capture the capital. Hifter’s forces are backed by Egypt, Russia and the United Arab Emirates, while the Tripoli government has turned to Turkey for troops and weapons.

A truce brokered earlier this month by Russia and Turkey marked the first break in fighting in months, but there have been repeated violations.

Among those who attended Sunday were Russian President Vladimir Putin, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, French President Emmanuel Macron, Italian Premier Giuseppe Conte, British Prime Minister Boris Johnson and U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo.

The participants agreed that “we want to respect the arms embargo, and that the arms embargo will be more strongly controlled than was the case in the past,” Merkel said. She added that the results of the conference should be endorsed by the U.N. Security Council.

Libya’s two main rival leaders, Prime Minister Fayez Sarraj and Gen. Khalifa Hifter, each named five members of a military committee that will represent them at talks on a more permanent cease-fire, Merkel said.

U.N. Secretary-General Antonio Guterres said that the committee would be convened “in Geneva in the coming days.”

Merkel said the summit participants agreed that they will give no further support to the warring parties in Libya ahead of the committee’s meeting and “cease operations as long as the cease-fire holds.”

There was no explicit commitment, however, to withdrawing existing military support. That “is a question for the real cease-fire,” Merkel said.

She said the conference hadn’t discussed specific sanctions for violating the arms embargo.

The summit’s final statement said the participants “call on all actors to refrain from any activities exacerbating the conflict or inconsistent with the (U.N.) arms embargo or the ceasefire, including the financing of military capabilities or the recruitment of mercenaries.”

Guterres said the Berlin conference had succeed in fending off “the risk of a true regional escalation.”

“That risk was averted in Berlin – provided, of course, that it is possible to maintain the truce and then to move into a cease-fire,” he said.

Guterres underlined the urgency of that next step, saying all the participants committed to “put pressure on the parties for a full cease-fire to be reached.”

“We cannot monitor something that doesn’t exist,” Guterres said.

Merkel added that the participants would continue to hold regular further meetings to ensure the process continues “so the people in Libya get their right to a peaceful life.”

Sarraj and Hifter didn’t meet face-to-face in Berlin.

“We spoke with them individually because the differences between them are so great that they aren’t speaking with each other at the moment,” Merkel said.

The two men weren’t direct participants in the conference, but were in Berlin and kept apprised of developments, she added.

German Foreign Minister Heiko Maas said that “we know that today’s signatures aren’t enough.”

He said countries that weren’t invited Sunday will be given the opportunity to participate in future meetings of the four committees dealing with various aspects of the crisis, among them military issues and the economy.

“We know that the work has only just started,” Maas said.

On Sunday, Libya’s National Oil Corporation said that guards under the command of Hifter’s forces shut down two key oil fields in the country’s southwestern desert, following the earlier closure of all eastern export terminals. Only offshore fields and one smaller facility remain operational, the corporation said.

Guterres said he was “very worried” about the oil developments. Germany’s Maas said that he and Merkel had discussed the blockaded terminals with Sarraj and Hifter.

“Both sides said they were prepared in principle to find a solution to this,” he added, but “it is dependent on various conditions.”

Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov was as quoted by Russian news agencies as saying that the conference was “very useful.”

Pompeop said that “I think we made progress — at least progress in getting fewer new weapons systems, fewer new forces to flow into the region so that we can get at least a standstill,” allowing the chance to work toward a political resolution.

The Berlin agreement immediately was met with some skepticism, however.

“This is all very good talk and optics, but there is still no mechanism for enforcement to actively stop a country from violating the arms embargo,” said Anas Gamati, the founder of a Tripoli-based think-tank , the Sadeq Institute.

Claudia Gazzini, a Libya analyst for the International Crisis Group, said the “military committee” idea is new and and definitely is a step forward from where we were last week in Moscow,” when Hifter departed suddenly, refusing to formally sign a truce under Turkish and Russian pressure.

“But in Libya there’s a tendency for committees to become synonymous with procrastination,” she added. “I think there will be a lot of brinkmanship.”

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Associated Press journalist Isabel DeBre in Cairo contributed to this report.

Frank Jordans And Geir Moulson, The Associated Press


































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Tech entrepreneur connects brands with top fans

NEW YORK — When Amber Atherton hit celebrity status as the co-creator and star of of British reality TV show “Made in Chelsea” in 2012, companies making everything from cream cheese to leggings wanted to pay her big bucks to promote their products.

That happened despite the fact that she didn’t even use most of the stuff.

That experience ended up being a teaching moment for Atherton, now 28. She also struggled to figure out who her influential customers were at her online jewelry company called My Flash Trash, which she sold in 2016. That inspired her to start a software company called Zyper a year later that connects brands like Kellogg, Nestle and cosmetics maker Rituals with “super fans,” instead of paid professional influencers.

Zyper, which relocated to San Francisco from London in 2018, identifies the top 1% of a label’s fans by analyzing data from public social media. Brands can then chat with those fans and can enlist them to serve as brand ambassadors on social sites in exchange for new products and access to events. So far, Atherton is seeing these “super fans” drive twice the average order value than other traffic sources for many brands.

Zyper has raised $8 million in financial backing, and Atherton is looking at expanding her clients — primarily consumer goods companies — to include automobiles and banks.

Atherton’s message comes as the influencer economy has been increasingly fraught with deceit and fraud. Influencers have been criticized for inflating the number of their followers or not even using the products they endorse. HyperAuditor, an analytics firm, investigated nearly 2 million Instagram accounts and discovered that more than half fraudulently pumped up the number of followers. Such influencer deception cost advertisers an estimated $1.3 billion last year, according to Roberto Cavazos, a statistics professor at the University of Baltimore. Cavazos predicts that figure will increase to up to $1.7 billion this year.

During an interview with The Associated Press, Atherton talked about why there’s distrust in influential marketing and how brands are starting to look at niche-based communities to find their fans. The questions and answers are edited for clarity and length.

Q: How does Zyper technology work?

A. Most brands know who their top customers are and their top influencer customers are but almost none of them know who their top fans are — everyday fans of the brand that have influence on a peer-to-peer level. Zyper uses a combination of computer vision and natural language processing to identify very granular indicators of influence. We have never looked at how many followers somebody has. We ingest public data from social networks and customer data and then run complex queries to identify people that have a strong affinity towards the brand.

Q. Then what?

A. Once we have identified the top 1% we reach out to consumers and invite them to join the brands or an interest-based community, which is hosted on our software. This might be a dark community — a chat-based focus group with the brand or a public one where fans co-create content and amplify content with the brand. But the best bit is connecting fans to each other to hang out in real life, swap skills — real friendships form through these brand communities.

Q. Describe the influencer market right now.

A. I started to see it go sour in 2017 which is when we launched Zyper with this anti-influencer message. As the barriers to entry are so low, you can buy 10,000 followers in 10 minutes and use any free editing app to easily create great content. Anyone can be a billboard and anyone is willing to make some easy money by posting a photo of toothpaste or leggings. But brands are waking up to the fact that what looked like a quick fix to ever rising Facebook acquisition costs is really just a sham that generates zero return on investment.

Q. What do you see as the future for influencers?

A. The future for influencers is going to be tough. Brands are getting savvier and demanding real return on investment. My advice would be for influencers to focus on becoming experts in a specific niche and to build their community.

Anne D’Innocenzio, The Associated Press

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